IgA Nephropathy Labs: 3 Numbers That Predict Kidney Failure
- Sean Hashmi, MD

- 19 hours ago
- 3 min read
Three lab numbers can predict whether you'll need dialysis in 10 years—and most IgA Nephropathy patients don't know which ones to track. Understanding your IgA Nephropathy labs is the difference between being a passive patient and taking control of your kidney health.
Key Takeaways
Proteinuria is the number one predictor of progression to kidney failure in IgA Nephropathy
Tracking three specific lab values allows you to monitor your trajectory and catch problems early
A free online prediction tool can calculate your personal 5-year risk of kidney failure
Overview
If you have IgA Nephropathy, your lab report contains critical information about your future kidney health. The challenge is knowing which numbers matter most—and what they actually mean.
The Three Labs That Matter Most
Research consistently shows that three values predict long-term outcomes in IgA Nephropathy better than anything else: proteinuria, eGFR, and blood pressure.
Proteinuria measures how much protein is leaking into your urine. This is the single most important predictor of whether your kidney disease will progress. A 2019 study published in Kidney International confirmed that higher proteinuria levels correlate directly with faster kidney function decline. The more protein leaking through your damaged filters, the worse the prognosis.
eGFR (estimated glomerular filtration rate) tells you how well your kidneys are filtering blood right now. This number determines your kidney disease stage and helps track whether your function is stable or declining over time.
Blood pressure is both a cause and consequence of kidney damage. High blood pressure strains your already-damaged glomeruli, creating a vicious cycle that accelerates disease progression. The 2021 KDIGO guidelines emphasize blood pressure control as a cornerstone of IgA Nephropathy management.
Understanding Your Kidney Biopsy
If you've had a kidney biopsy, your pathology report includes something called the MEST-C score. This classification system grades the severity of kidney damage based on five distinct features: mesangial hypercellularity, endocapillary hypercellularity, segmental sclerosis, tubular atrophy, and crescent formation.
Each component receives a score, and together they help predict your long-term prognosis. A patient with low scores across the board has a significantly better outlook than someone with high scores in multiple categories.
The Power of Prediction
Here's where it gets practical. Researchers at the University of Toronto developed a free online tool called the International IgA Nephropathy Prediction Tool. By entering your proteinuria, eGFR, blood pressure, and MEST-C score, you can calculate your personal 5-year risk of reaching kidney failure.
But the real power isn't just knowing your risk—it's watching that risk change. When you lower your proteinuria, control your blood pressure, and start protective medications, you can rerun the tool and see your percentage drop. This transforms abstract lab values into concrete motivation.
What You Can Do
Request your lab results and identify your current proteinuria, eGFR, and blood pressure values
If you've had a kidney biopsy, ask your nephrologist for your MEST-C score
Establish a system for tracking these numbers over time so you can identify trends
The Bottom Line
Knowledge is power when it comes to IgA Nephropathy. When you understand which labs matter, track your trends, and use prediction tools to monitor your trajectory, you shift from waiting for your doctor to tell you what's happening to already knowing—and that knowledge drives better decisions and better outcomes.
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Medical Disclaimer
This article is for educational purposes only and is not medical advice, diagnosis, or treatment. Always consult your healthcare provider before making changes to your health routine. The views expressed are Dr. Hashmi's personal professional opinions and do not represent any employer or affiliated organization.

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